Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001959 0.002078 0.002201 0.002338 0.002487 0.002643 0.002820
2025-05-11 0.001827 0.001999 0.002186 0.002402 0.002648 0.002919 0.003243
2025-05-18 0.001707 0.001913 0.002142 0.002417 0.002741 0.003112 0.003574
2025-05-25 0.001581 0.001805 0.002059 0.002373 0.002753 0.003202 0.003781
2025-06-01 0.001490 0.001726 0.002002 0.002349 0.002781 0.003306 0.004002
2025-06-08 0.001433 0.001684 0.001981 0.002365 0.002853 0.003462 0.004295
2025-06-15 0.001365 0.001623 0.001934 0.002342 0.002872 0.003549 0.004498
2025-06-22 0.001309 0.001573 0.001896 0.002328 0.002899 0.003643 0.004715
2025-06-29 0.001255 0.001523 0.001855 0.002305 0.002911 0.003717 0.004904
2025-07-06 0.001202 0.001471 0.001809 0.002273 0.002908 0.003767 0.005061
2025-07-13 0.001140 0.001406 0.001742 0.002209 0.002857 0.003747 0.005112
2025-07-20 0.001114 0.001385 0.001732 0.002221 0.002910 0.003875 0.005388
2025-07-27 0.001096 0.001377 0.001742 0.002265 0.003015 0.004092 0.005829
2025-08-03 0.001086 0.001379 0.001766 0.002329 0.003155 0.004370 0.006392
2025-08-10 0.001059 0.001357 0.001756 0.002344 0.003223 0.004543 0.006801
2025-08-17 0.001015 0.001310 0.001708 0.002302 0.003202 0.004577 0.006981
2025-08-24 0.000981 0.001274 0.001675 0.002279 0.003209 0.004655 0.007240
2025-08-31 0.000961 0.001258 0.001667 0.002294 0.003274 0.004828 0.007680
2025-09-07 0.000930 0.001226 0.001637 0.002273 0.003279 0.004903 0.007948
2025-09-14 0.000905 0.001199 0.001612 0.002259 0.003296 0.004997 0.008260
2025-09-21 0.000878 0.001170 0.001584 0.002237 0.003298 0.005066 0.008528
2025-09-28 0.000850 0.001139 0.001550 0.002206 0.003284 0.005104 0.008740
2025-10-05 0.000815 0.001096 0.001499 0.002145 0.003215 0.005043 0.008747